Sahm was the economist who introduced the so-called Sahm Rule in 2019. It states that the initial phase of a recession has started when the three-month moving average of the U.S. unemployment rate is ...

Global stock markets faced an air pocket on Monday, leading investors to rely on the "Sahm rule," a highly accurate recession indicator, to assess whether the U.S. economy is in recession. The Sahm ...

When the monthly jobs report from the Labor Department was released in August at 8:30 a.m., it packed a punch. Something called the Sahm Rule had been triggered — it was like an economic fire alarm ...

A lot of talk about the Sahm rule, which is a recession indicator, but we haven't really heard recession, a lot of recession talk. That's because it didn't happen last year, where, which a lot of ...

Even economist Claudia Sahm admits that her namesake recession indicator isn’t always a guarantee that the economy is headed toward a downturn. Sahm, an economist who previously worked at the Federal ...

A bummer of a jobs report released Friday morning triggered a sharp drop in the stock market and stoked fear of a coming recession—thanks to something known as the "Sahm Rule." So what is that? It is ...

Closely followed measures of U.S. inflation have come in hotter than expected so far this year, and economist Claudia Sahm is getting nervous: A recent batch of economic reports implies that pricing ...