Trump announces a 'historic' disarmament deal with Hamas. US-Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026 at 38% YES.

Oil prices dropped over $1 as flows through the Strait of Hormuz improved. New all-time high for crude oil by September 30 at ...

Russia regains Olympic status after dropping territorial claims. Entry into Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026 at 51% YES.

This article examines how recent events may relate to prediction market pricing. It reflects interpretive analysis of ...

Musk restructures Tesla's China business for a potential SpaceX merger. Merger officially announced by December 31 at 26% YES ...

Musk denies Tesla is selling its China business for a SpaceX merger. Merger officially announced by December 31 at 25.5% YES.

Oil prices retracted after initial gains amid US-Iran tensions. New all-time high by September 30 at 5.6% YES, by December 31 ...

Houthi threats to the Bab el-Mandeb Strait raise concerns over oil supply disruptions. WTI reaching $110 in July 2026 at 0.2% ...

Senators Tillis and Gallego submitted the CLARITY Act ethics proposal to the White House. Act signed into law in 2026 at 25.5 ...

US airstrikes hit Iranian military sites in response to missile attacks. Iran targeting Ukraine by August 31 at 4.6% YES.

Russia launched a major attack on Ukraine, resulting in 13 deaths. Russian entry into Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026 is now ...

Strategy reported an $8.33 billion operating loss after Bitcoin’s 27% year to date decline produced an $8.32 billion ...