S&P 500 at critical 7470–7475, oil's explosive wedge, tech rotation (Apple/AI), Palantir & Shopify swing targets, Intel ...

Independent AI forecasts of DC Initiative 86, conditional on the vote, pooled through a causal map - MaxGhenis/dc-i86-llm-forecast ...

Many counts are sums of independent yes/no events with unequal chances: adverse events among patients, defaults in a loan book, faults in a network. Such a count X has a Poisson-binomial law, and in ...

MIT CSAIL's "weight-space programming" has a frontier LLM read and edit neural network weights directly, with no gradient descent. Surgical edits ended Qwen's reasoning loops, but the results come ...

What Anthropic’s acceleration warning means for recursive self-improvement, and what evidence remains missing.

Tilray Brands is using a 70% probability of federal marijuana legalization in valuing a multimillion-dollar investment tied ...

A reproducible open-data framework using the Wisconsin Diagnostic Breast Cancer dataset achieved near-ceiling discrimination ...