Black voters made up a larger share of the electorate than in 2024, helping to (maybe) flip Mississippi's Senate seat ...
This week’s main read: A prominent pollster admitted this week to re-doing polls so they match the conventional wisdom. That’s a huge infraction for public pollsters that could bias our averages in a ...
Final early voting records from Texas, Georgia, and now North Carolina show Democrats benefiting from an “engagement gap” ...
While low-engagement voters favored Trump over Kamala Harris by 13 points in 2024, low-engagement likely voters now favor Democrats in congressional races by 2 points. That’s a 15-point swing toward ...
Why undecided voters probably won’t care about Trump’s closing message, and an early voting update. Your weekly political ...
Latino voters more than doubled, from 1.5% of early voters to 3.4%, and voters under 30 went from 8% to 11%. And Republicans under 45 cast fewer early ballots than they did in 2022 — even as the total ...
Our new November Strength in Numbers/Verasight poll finds Democrats leading the 2026 U.S. House generic ballot, 47% to 42% for Republicans. In a survey experiment, when respondents are told ...
This post is part of The Data Lab, a dedicated section of Strength In Numbers for extra charts, general polling wonkery, and methods work that can be a little too nerdy for the normal editorial ...
Last month, I showed that error in how Americans report who they voted for in the 2024 election could be causing polls to underestimate support for the Democrats in ...
A mailbag episode about Democrats’ huge early voting numbers, the almost-final polls in key Senate races, and everything else ...
Through Sunday, Oct. 18, after just four days of in-person early voting, North Carolinians had cast about 526,000 early in-person and mail ballots, according to the NC State Board of Elections. That ...
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